
Making Money II
(January 16, 2003) - After
cash in pocket, revenue, cashflow and margin are the most important forms of
money for a company on a day to day basis. Revenue is the result of a customer
ordering a product or service. Cashflow is the business of managing the
relationship between customer payments and the expenses of meeting the
requirements of their order. Margin is the difference between the value of the
order and the cost to deliver it.
The ideal business takes an
order (revenue), processes it (cash flow) and turns out a product or service
(and margin). The ideal business produces the same or more margin (as a
percentage of revenue) on each identical product. Each of the three aspects of
what we'll call "operating money" can be managed for improvement. Any
real cost-saving will show as reduced cashflow and increased margin.
The more predictably a
company can take a dollar in revenue (orders) and convert it into fifteen or
twenty cents of margin (plus a product and a happy customer), the more the
company is worth. Imagine a cash machine that takes other people's money and
keeps 20%. A good business does that with increasing relaibility over the course
of its existence.
Most straightforward
valuations of a company simply equate the margin output to an investment. So, if
the going investment rate is 10%, a company is worth 10 times its margin (or
earnings). If the current rate is 5%, the company is worth 20 times its
earnings. (Simply divide the current commercial bank loan rate into 1. This is
how valuations are done in non-dot-com environments.) If there is something
particularly special about the way the company produces its results (a special
process, technique, trademark or brand), additional points can be added to the
"multiple".
It takes a number of years
for a company to get good at growing while maintaining the rate at which it
converts other people's money into margin. The reason that the stock market
fluctuates is, in part, because even the most predictable and reliable firms
have trouble keeping revenue growth, cashflow and margin in the required
balance. Variations result in increases or decreases in the company's value and
therefore the stock price. (If only it were really this simple.)
Most of a company's
operating attention is focused on these three variables. Real organizational
impact in the daily operating environment comes from increasing revenues (sales
and marketing), decreasing or optimizing cash flow (collection rates) or
improving profitability (margin). These are hard numbers that can be verified in
the accounting system and against bank transactions. They involve real
money.
In another column, we'll lay
out the next layer of the question, capital. Real wealth involves capital, not
cash. As we pointed out simply in this article, the three operating variables
are important because they individually and collectively drive the value of the
company. One way of thinking about them is that they are nothing more than the
symptoms of a company's underlying capital structure.
In the meantime, consider
revenue, cashflow and margin again. The easiest way (although too much growth
can cripple a company) to increase the value of a company is by increasing its
revenues (more sales, higher perception of company quality). The next best way
is by increasing its margin (better productivity, reduced real time in the
execution process). Finally, collections and the timing of payments can be used
to improve cashflow.
Each day, the CFO asks
himself "How can I get my HR/HCM department to contribute to the solution
of my real problems?" The CFO is thinking in terms of these variables. The
question for HR is how do we start to contribute.
- John Sumser
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